Price Elasticity Modelling · Pricing Decision Intelligence

Know what happens before you change the price.

Measure how demand responds to price changes by SKU, customer, channel or region, then compare the revenue, margin and volume consequences of feasible pricing moves.

Questions this model answers

Price response at the level where the business actually acts.

Volume

How much volume could we lose after a price increase?

Estimate expected demand response by product, channel, customer or geography instead of relying on a single portfolio average.

Opportunity

Which SKUs have room to increase price?

Identify products where price sensitivity, margin and competitive context support a stronger pricing move.

Trade-off

What happens to revenue and margin?

Translate demand response into scenarios so the commercial team can see the economic consequence of each feasible change.

Portfolio

Will demand switch to another product?

Model cross-price effects, substitution and cannibalisation where the data can credibly support them.

From historical data to a pricing decision

Price is one driver among many.

Graphite Note separates price response from the other factors that can move demand so the final pricing recommendation is based on a more credible view of what changed and why.

01 / DATA

Sales + price + context

Sales, units, price, promotions, distribution, stock, seasonality, channel, geography and relevant external variables.

02 / MODEL

Estimate demand response

Model own-price and, where supported, cross-price response while accounting for other demand drivers.

03 / SCENARIOS

Compare feasible price moves

Simulate expected volume, revenue and margin under candidate prices and commercial constraints.

04 / DECISION

Recommend the pricing move

Return the price range or action with expected impact, assumptions and evidence the commercial team can review.

Not one elasticity number

Elasticity can change by SKU, channel, region and customer.

A single number can hide the exact variation that matters commercially. Graphite Note models the decision at the level where there is enough evidence to support it and makes uncertainty visible where the data is thin.

When the question is about whether a promotion caused incremental sales rather than how demand responds to price, use a causal design instead. See promotion effectiveness and incrementality.

PREDICT

Estimate demand response

Forecast how units or volume are likely to move under candidate prices.

CAUSE

Control for confounding where needed

Separate price from promotions, distribution, seasonality and other variables that can distort the relationship.

OPTIMISE

Choose among feasible prices

Compare margin, revenue, volume and commercial constraints before recommending the move.

Direct answers

Questions buyers ask about price elasticity.

How much data do I need for price elasticity modelling?

There is no single minimum. The useful amount depends on how often prices change, the level of seasonality, the number of SKUs and channels, and whether there is enough variation to separate price effects from promotions and other drivers.

Can you estimate elasticity when prices rarely change?

Sometimes, but the evidence is weaker when there is very little price variation. Graphite Note will make that limitation explicit rather than manufacture false precision.

Can promotion effects be separated from base-price effects?

Yes, when the available data supports it. Promotion flags, discount depth, distribution, seasonality and other relevant drivers can be modelled separately so price response is not confused with promotional lift.

Can elasticity be calculated by SKU, channel or region?

Yes, where the data is sufficiently rich. Elasticity can differ materially across products, channels, customers, regions and time, so a single portfolio-wide number is often too crude for a pricing decision.

What is the difference between price elasticity and price optimisation?

Elasticity estimates how demand responds to price. Price optimisation uses that response together with margin, constraints and commercial objectives to compare feasible price actions.

Bring the pricing decision, not just the dataset.

We will structure the model around the products, markets, constraints and economic outcome you actually need to optimise.